HDV ETF outperforms S&P 500 by year-end 2026

Market overview

The iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV) will deliver a total return at least 5 percentage points higher than the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026. This prediction accounts for continued investor preference for dividend stability amid economic uncertainty and AI-driven volatility in tech-heavy indices.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

More price markets

• Allianz stock rises above €250 by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• Nvidia shares drop 5% within one week due to Foxconn breach exposure — 70% Yes
• Tesla stock rallies above $200 by June 2026 on improved deliveries — 60% Yes
• ASML's market share in chip inspection equipment will decline by 15% by 2027 — 60% Yes
• USD/JPY exchange rate drops below 130 by year-end — 70% Yes
• JPMorgan stock to close above $250 by Dec 31, 2026 — 65% Yes
• OpenAI’s valuation drops below $700B by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
• French 10-year yield exceeds 5% by March 2027 — 65% Yes

Browse all price markets →