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OpenAI’s valuation drops below $700B by 2026-12-31

Resolves: OpenAI’s latest private market valuation (based on secondary transactions, investor reports, or company disclosures) is reported to be below $700 billion by 2026-12-31.

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OpenAI’s valuation drops below $700B by 2026-12-31

Market overview

OpenAI’s leadership instability and delayed IPO plans reduce investor confidence, leading to a markdown in private market valuations. Declining growth in consumer AI segments like ChatGPT and persistent competition from Anthropic further pressure valuation expectations.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

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Resolution criteria

OpenAI’s latest private market valuation (based on secondary transactions, investor reports, or company disclosures) is reported to be below $700 billion by 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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