user-generated· macro
Reserve Bank of Australia cuts rates by 25bps in Q1 2027
Market overview
Persistent low consumer confidence will prompt the RBA to cut interest rates in Q1 2027 to stimulate the economy.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
RBA announces a 25bps rate cut in Q1 2027, confirmed by official RBA statements.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Canadian dollar weakens against USD by 10% — 75% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…