Iran-backed proxy attacks on U.S. targets in next 3 months

Given Iran's public threats and domestic pressure following Khamenei's death, proxy groups (e.g., Hezbollah, Houthis) are likely to launch attacks against U.S. interests. The ceasefire fragility raises the risk.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-10-11

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