user-generated· leadership
Elon Musk's X engagement drops 40% by October 2026
Market overview
Public backlash over Doge's USAID cuts and associated humanitarian crises will reduce Musk's X (Twitter) engagement. Controversial statements and lack of accountability will drive users away.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-10-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
X (Twitter) engagement metrics (likes, shares, replies) drop by at least 40% compared to June 2026 baseline by October 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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