Fed cuts rates below 3.5% by December 2026
Resolves: Federal Reserve's effective federal funds rate falls below 3.5% as of the December 2026 meeting outcome.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts rates below 3.5% by December 2026
Market overview
Minutes indicate 'many participants' see the appropriate rate within or slightly below the current 3.5%-3.75% range by year-end. If inflation cools faster than expected, a dovish shift could materialize.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 58%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Federal Reserve's effective federal funds rate falls below 3.5% as of the December 2026 meeting outcome.
Source: user-generated
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