McConnell steps down from Senate leadership by 2026-12-31
Resolves: McConnell resigns from Senate leadership position (e.g., Minority Leader) or steps down from his Senate seat before December 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
McConnell steps down from Senate leadership by 2026-12-31
Market overview
McConnell confirmed a mild case of pneumonia and his intent to finish his term but remains at elevated health risk. Senate rules require leadership changes if a member resigns or is incapacitated within a term.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
McConnell resigns from Senate leadership position (e.g., Minority Leader) or steps down from his Senate seat before December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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