Tories lead next national poll
Resolves: Any YouGov GB voting intention poll published after Oct 3 2026 shows Conservatives at 30% or higher.
user-generated· event
Tories lead next national poll
Market overview
Conservatives reach 30%+ in next YouGov voting intention poll before 2027.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2027-01-01
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Any YouGov GB voting intention poll published after Oct 3 2026 shows Conservatives at 30% or higher.
Source: user-generated
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