OpenAI settles with Apple for over $1B by 2026-12-31
Resolves: OpenAI announces a settlement with Apple where total payments exceed $1 billion, or Apple confirms a settlement of at least $1 billion in the case.
user-generated· legal
OpenAI settles with Apple for over $1B by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Given Apple's aggressive legal stance and the high stakes of alleged trade secret theft, OpenAI is likely to pursue a settlement to avoid prolonged litigation and reputational damage. A settlement exceeding $1B would signal Apple's leverage and OpenAI's prioritization of resources.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OpenAI announces a settlement with Apple where total payments exceed $1 billion, or Apple confirms a settlement of at least $1 billion in the case.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- Legal challenge halts Liberia deportations by 2027 — 40% Yes
- Murdaugh retrial delayed beyond 2028 — 70% Yes
- easyJet shareholders vote to approve Castlelake takeover by Dec 2026 — 70% Yes
- South Africa settles Sharpeville case out of court — 0% Yes
- AI-driven ransomware attacks increase by 40% by 2026 Q4 — 78% Yes
- Tennessee Republicans retain redistricting map in 2026 midterms — 58% Yes
- Pew will release follow-up study showing widening Latino identity divide by 2027 — 70% Yes
- French court convicts majority of wildfire arson suspects — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…