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French court convicts majority of wildfire arson suspects

Resolves: Court verdicts or plea agreements confirming convictions for at least 250 of the 420 arrested wildfire suspects.

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user-generated· legal

French court convicts majority of wildfire arson suspects

Market overview

At least 250 of the 420 arrested over 2026 French wildfires will be convicted by 2027-06-30.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-06-30

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Court verdicts or plea agreements confirming convictions for at least 250 of the 420 arrested wildfire suspects.

Source: user-generated

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