user-generated· macro
Germany's debt-to-GDP exceeds 65% by Q4 2026
Market overview
Despite efforts to stabilize debt, Germany's debt-to-GDP ratio will rise above 65% by the end of 2026 due to persistent fiscal deficits and economic challenges. This exceeds the EU's Stability and Growth Pact threshold.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Germany's debt-to-GDP ratio, as reported by the Federal Statistical Office or Eurostat, exceeds 65% by Q4 2026.
Source: user-generated
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