Will Iran's crude oil production exceed 3.5 million barrels per day for any calendar month in 2027?
Resolves: YES if official data from the IEA, OPEC, or other reputable energy agencies confirms Iran's average monthly crude oil production exceeded 3.5 million barrels per day for any single calendar month in 2024. NO otherwise.
Will Iran's crude oil production exceed 3.5 million barrels per day f…
Market overview
Improved relations and potential sanction relief could allow Iran to increase its oil output. This question assesses whether the 'constructive manner' of talks translates into tangible increases in Iran's oil production capacity and export volumes.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2029-08-22
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if official data from the IEA, OPEC, or other reputable energy agencies confirms Iran's average monthly crude oil production exceeded 3.5 million barrels per day for any single calendar month in 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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