user-generated· event
Spain's UME deployment in 2026 wildfires exceeds 2025 levels by Nov 30
Market overview
Spain's Military Emergency Unit (UME) will be deployed in more wildfire incidents in 2026 compared to 2025, reflecting the escalating severity of the crisis. This includes both the number of deployments and total personnel mobilized.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total number of UME deployments for wildfire response in Spain during 2026 exceeds the 2025 total of [X deployments] by November 30, 2026, as reported by Spain's Ministry of Defense.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- New Zealand government to announce manufacturing incentives by 2026-12-31 — 65% Yes
- Norm files IPO papers with SEC within 24 months — 58% Yes
- Teesside crash and fire linked by police by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
- Invictus Games London 2027 sponsorship drops by 30% — 65% Yes
- Reform UK includes migrant return plan in next manifesto — 80% Yes
- F1 paddock deal volume exceeds 500 signed term sheets by 2026-12-31 — 72% Yes
- Prostate cancer awareness charities raise over £5M in 6 months post-tribute — 78% Yes
- Argentina advances to World Cup final by December 2026 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…