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Argentina advances to World Cup final by December 2026

Resolves: Argentina is named a finalist in the 2026 FIFA World Cup as determined by official FIFA records or reputable sports news outlets by 2026-12-20.

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user-generated· event

Argentina advances to World Cup final by December 2026

Market overview

Argentina reaches the final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by political pressure from the Trump administration via the DOJ to resolve FIFA's corruption case against AFA and clear Messi's eligibility. The resolution of the legal case before the tournament is cited as a critical factor in their success.

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Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-20

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Argentina is named a finalist in the 2026 FIFA World Cup as determined by official FIFA records or reputable sports news outlets by 2026-12-20.

Source: user-generated

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