Senegal's sovereign bond yields exceed 12% by December 2026
Resolves: Senegal's 10-year sovereign bond yield (or nearest benchmark) exceeds 12% at any point between 2026-12-01 and 2026-12-31.
user-generated· macro
Senegal's sovereign bond yields exceed 12% by December 2026
Market overview
As political instability persists and debt concerns grow, investor appetite for Senegalese debt will decline sharply. Citibank's warning of potential debt reprofiling will drive yields upward, surpassing the 12% threshold by end of Q4 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Senegal's 10-year sovereign bond yield (or nearest benchmark) exceeds 12% at any point between 2026-12-01 and 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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