Major California wildfire causes over $2 billion in insured losses by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Insured losses from a single wildfire event in California reported by a major insurance or reinsurance firm exceed $2 billion by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· price
Major California wildfire causes over $2 billion in insured losses by…
Market overview
California remains a high-risk area for wildfires due to ongoing drought and extreme heat. A single major wildfire event during the 2026 season could surpass $2 billion in insured losses, driven by property damage, business interruption, and infrastructure impacts.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Insured losses from a single wildfire event in California reported by a major insurance or reinsurance firm exceed $2 billion by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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