Bola Tinubu's approval rating drops below 40% by end of 2026
Resolves: Independent polling aggregators (e.g., NOI Polls, Afrobarometer) report President Bola Tinubu's approval rating at or below 40% in Nigeria as of December 31, 2026.
user-generated· zeitgeist
Bola Tinubu's approval rating drops below 40% by end of 2026
Market overview
The fake agency scandal, combined with economic pressures and election-year politics, is expected to erode public trust in President Tinubu. Polling data and political analysts project a significant decline in his approval rating as the general election approaches.
zeitgeist prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Independent polling aggregators (e.g., NOI Polls, Afrobarometer) report President Bola Tinubu's approval rating at or below 40% in Nigeria as of December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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