2026 midterms see 15% increase in female congressional candidates

Market overview

The public backlash over sexual misconduct scandals will drive a surge in female candidates running for Congress in the 2026 midterms. This trend will be most pronounced in districts with recent misconduct allegations.

zeitgeist prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Source: user-generated

More zeitgeist markets

• Biden approval rating drops 10+ points by 2026-09-01 — 80% Yes
• U.S. religiously unaffiliated population will surpass 35% by 2026 — 70% Yes
• By 2026, reader trust in news will decline by 15% due to AI-generated content confusion — 65% Yes
• Public approval of White House security measures declines by 10% within 6 months — 60% Yes
• Public opinion shifts against Biden due to tape revelations in 2027 — 65% Yes
• Public support for Medicare for All drops below 50% by 2028 due to cost concerns — 60% Yes
• Bipartisan support for drug price reforms will exceed 70% by Aug 2026 — 80% Yes
• Conspiracy theories surge during Robinson trial — 68% Yes

Browse all zeitgeist markets →