Singapore will return Marcus to Indonesia by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Marcus is officially deported or repatriated to Indonesia by the stated date.
user-generated· legal
Singapore will return Marcus to Indonesia by 2026-12-31
Market overview
The Indonesian government will formally petition for Marcus's repatriation, and Singaporean authorities will comply due to diplomatic pressure and evidence of trafficking. The resolution hinges on bilateral agreements and court rulings.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Marcus is officially deported or repatriated to Indonesia by the stated date.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- International criminal court will issue arrest warrants for Israeli officials by 2027 — 75% Yes
- OpenAI settles Apple trade secret lawsuit by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- Nassau County solar ban overturned within 6 months — 75% Yes
- Mifepristone availability decreases in red states within 6 months of restrictive ruling — 70% Yes
- Liberia extradites key suspect in 200kg cocaine bust to US by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- GitHub credential leaks via CISA contractors increase by 20% in 2026 — 70% Yes
- Bonnie Tyler's estate files for trademark protection by 2027 — 55% Yes
- Live facial recognition deployed at protests flags 50+ suspects — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…