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GitHub credential leaks via CISA contractors increase by 20% in 2026

Resolves: GitHub API data shows a 20% or greater increase in publicly exposed credentials linked to CISA contractors compared to 2025 levels.

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user-generated· legal

GitHub credential leaks via CISA contractors increase by 20% in 2026

Market overview

The exposed incident highlights systemic risks from contractor oversight. With CISA's reduced workforce and lack of clear researcher notification channels, similar leaks are likely to rise. Contractors may face increased scrutiny but struggle to implement tighter controls.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

GitHub API data shows a 20% or greater increase in publicly exposed credentials linked to CISA contractors compared to 2025 levels.

Source: user-generated

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