Nikkei 225 rises above 35,000 by December 2026 due to GPIF's domestic shift
Resolves: Nikkei 225 index value (as reported by Bloomberg or Nikkei Inc.) exceeds 35,000 on December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Nikkei 225 rises above 35,000 by December 2026 due to GPIF's domestic…
Market overview
GPIF's expanded domestic investment program will funnel capital into Japanese equities, particularly blue-chip stocks. With the index currently near 32,000, this policy-driven liquidity injection is expected to push the Nikkei 225 above 35,000 by year-end 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Nikkei 225 index value (as reported by Bloomberg or Nikkei Inc.) exceeds 35,000 on December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- US AI hardware exports to China exceed $5 billion in 2026 — 55% Yes
- S&P 500 peaks by October 2026 before 10% correction — 70% Yes
- Virgin Media share of UK broadband market drops below 20% by March 2027 — 65% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- Nikkei 225 drops below 35,000 by June 2027 amid BoJ tightening — 60% Yes
- Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 10% in 2026 — 78% Yes
- India’s GDP growth exceeds 7% in FY 2027 — 68% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…