user-generated· event
UAE rejoins OPEC+ by December 2026
Market overview
Following internal assessments of market stability and diplomatic pressure, the UAE will formally rejoin OPEC+ by December 2026. The move aligns with Iraq’s push for higher quotas and the normalization of Strait of Hormuz flows.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UAE publicly announces its intention to rejoin OPEC+ as a full voting member with quota obligations by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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