user-generated· leadership
Paxton campaign staff resignations
Market overview
At least two senior Paxton campaign staff resign by end of 2026.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Two or more senior staff (campaign manager, communications director, or equivalent) resign from Paxton's Senate campaign in 2026.
Source: user-generated
More leadership markets
- Starmer survives leadership challenge, cabinet reshuffle by September 2027 — 55% Yes
- Labour MPs to trigger leadership challenge within 30 days — 60% Yes
- Labour Party replaces Starmer with Angela Rayner by 2027 — 45% Yes
- Prince Harry meets King Charles III during UK visit — 45% Yes
- Andy Burnham will win a parliamentary seat by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Chancellor Merz to resign by year-end — 75% Yes
- Labour Party removes Starmer as leader by October 2028 — 70% Yes
- Wes Streeting will announce a leadership bid against Keir Starmer by July 2027 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…