Iranian Revolutionary Guard strikes US base in Qatar by 2026-08-15

The IRGC has already retaliated in Kuwait and Bahrain. Given recent escalation patterns and Iran's stated intent to target US assets in Gulf states, a strike on Qatar—home to major US military installations—is highly plausible within six weeks.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-08-15

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