user-generated· event
Celebrity endorsements will sway 2026 midterm voter turnout by 5%
Market overview
Americans may claim political fatigue, but celebrity endorsements for candidates or causes will measurably increase voter turnout in the 2026 midterms. Data from previous election cycles shows a 3-7% boost in turnout for endorsed candidates.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-04
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Voter turnout in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections increases by at least 5 percentage points compared to the 2022 midterms (53.4% turnout in 2022).
Source: user-generated
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