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Will there be more than 50 new confirmed Ebola cases reported in the DRC between today and October 31, 2027?

Resolves: YES if the cumulative number of new confirmed Ebola cases reported by the DRC Ministry of Health or WHO between today (July 19, 2024) and October 31, 2024, exceeds 50. NO otherwise.

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Will there be more than 50 new confirmed Ebola cases reported in the…

Market overview

Despite the WHO chief's optimism, containing Ebola outbreaks can be challenging due to various factors like population movement and healthcare infrastructure. This question gauges the immediate trajectory of the outbreak.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2029-08-27

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the cumulative number of new confirmed Ebola cases reported by the DRC Ministry of Health or WHO between today (July 19, 2024) and October 31, 2024, exceeds 50. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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