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Deep-sea mining permits increase by 20% by December 2026

Resolves: The total number of active deep-sea mining permits globally exceeds the count as of 2026-07-10 by at least 20%.

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user-generated· regulatory

Deep-sea mining permits increase by 20% by December 2026

Market overview

Global permits for deep-sea mining operations will rise by at least 20% from current levels due to weakened environmental regulations and economic pressures. This trend will be driven by demand for rare minerals and reduced enforcement of conservation measures.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The total number of active deep-sea mining permits globally exceeds the count as of 2026-07-10 by at least 20%.

Source: user-generated

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