Social Security trust fund insolvency accelerates to 2032 from 2035 baseline
Resolves: The Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund is projected to be insolvent by December 31, 2032, according to the Social Security Administration's 2027 Trustees Report.
user-generated· regulatory
Social Security trust fund insolvency accelerates to 2032 from 2035 b…
Market overview
The decline in the 45-64 workforce reduces payroll tax contributions, accelerating the depletion of the Social Security trust fund. The 2026 Census data suggests a faster-than-projected erosion of the fund's reserves.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2032-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund is projected to be insolvent by December 31, 2032, according to the Social Security Administration's 2027 Trustees Report.
Source: user-generated
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