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user-generated· geopolitics

Iran publicly pledges to halt ship attacks by 2026-08-15

By mid-August, Iran will issue a formal statement declaring the Strait of Hormuz open and committing to cease all attacks on commercial ships. This follows US demands conveyed through regional mediators and Qatar’s diplomatic efforts.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-08-15

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