Catnip-based repellent gains 15% market share in Africa by 2027
Resolves: Catnip-based repellents account for at least 15% of total mosquito repellent sales in Africa (measured by volume or revenue) by December 31, 2027.
user-generated· adoption
Catnip-based repellent gains 15% market share in Africa by 2027
Market overview
By 2027, catnip-based repellents will capture 15% of the African mosquito repellent market due to their lower cost and comparable efficacy to DEET. Demand will surge in rural subsistence farming regions where DEET is unaffordable.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Catnip-based repellents account for at least 15% of total mosquito repellent sales in Africa (measured by volume or revenue) by December 31, 2027.
Source: user-generated
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