Bluesky reaches 100M users by year-end 2026
Resolves: Bluesky’s monthly active users (MAU) exceed 100 million by December 31, 2026, as reported by official Bluesky metrics or third-party analytics.
user-generated· adoption
Bluesky reaches 100M users by year-end 2026
Market overview
Schneider’s push to create smaller, private communities aligns with Bluesky’s potential to attract users seeking niche or ad-free spaces. The platform’s decentralized AT Protocol could enable rapid scaling if adoption accelerates.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Bluesky’s monthly active users (MAU) exceed 100 million by December 31, 2026, as reported by official Bluesky metrics or third-party analytics.
Source: user-generated
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