Trump brokers Ukraine-Russia ceasefire by December 2026

Trump's meeting with Zelenskyy at the NATO summit increases the likelihood of direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia. Given Trump's stated urgency to end the war and Putin's recent signals of openness to peaceful solutions, a formal ceasefire agreement will be reached and implemented by December 31, 2026.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-12-31

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