UK average mortgage rates exceed 6% by December 2026
Resolves: The average UK mortgage rate published by the Bank of England exceeds 6.00% as of December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
UK average mortgage rates exceed 6% by December 2026
Market overview
The Bank of England's Financial Stability Report indicates mortgage costs are rising due to geopolitical tensions. Historical trends show rates often exceed 6% during economic stress periods. Given current projections, average mortgage rates will likely surpass this threshold by year-end.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The average UK mortgage rate published by the Bank of England exceeds 6.00% as of December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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