Fed cuts interest rates by December 2026 due to revised PCE data
Resolves: The Federal Open Market Committee announces a federal funds rate target range below 5.25% (current level as of July 2026) in its December 2026 policy statement.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts interest rates by December 2026 due to revised PCE data
Market overview
The Fed will cite improved inflation dynamics following the PCE methodology revisions as justification for monetary easing. Markets currently price in a ~70% chance of a rate cut by December 2026, but the revised data will accelerate this expectation.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Open Market Committee announces a federal funds rate target range below 5.25% (current level as of July 2026) in its December 2026 policy statement.
Source: user-generated
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