Typhoon Saudel to cause insurance claims surge in Q4 2026

Market overview

Insurance claims related to Typhoon Saudel will increase significantly in Q4 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-01-15

Source: user-generated

More macro markets

• Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026 due to quake impact — 80% Yes
• U.S. military spending on Middle East maritime security will rise by 2027 — 65% Yes
• UK gilt yields rise above 5% by end of October 2027 — 60% Yes
• UN allocates $500M for glacial flood adaptation by 2028 — 60% Yes
• Boston Fed President Collins dissents again by December 2028 — 55% Yes
• Notion's market cap exceeds $20 billion by Q3 2027 — 62% Yes
• India's sugar export ban leads to domestic price inflation — 72% Yes
• EU wildfire emergency response fund to exceed €500m by December 2026 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →