Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026 due to quake impact
Resolves: Venezuela's GDP for 2026, as reported by official sources or international institutions (e.g., IMF, World Bank), shows a contraction of more than 5% compared to 2025.
user-generated· macro
Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026 due to quake impact
Market overview
The earthquake's destruction of critical infrastructure, including energy and transportation networks, will severely disrupt economic activity. Analysts project Venezuela's GDP to contract by over 5% in 2026, reversing any prior growth estimates.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2027-01-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Venezuela's GDP for 2026, as reported by official sources or international institutions (e.g., IMF, World Bank), shows a contraction of more than 5% compared to 2025.
Source: user-generated
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