Will Sri Lanka experience another major terrorist attack resulting in at least 10 fatalities before 2029-09-23?
Resolves: YES if a terrorist attack in Sri Lanka results in 10 or more fatalities, as officially reported by the Sri Lankan government or major international news agencies, before 2029-09-23. NO otherwise.
Will Sri Lanka experience another major terrorist attack resulting in…
Market overview
The sentencing of individuals involved in the 2019 Easter bombings addresses past violence. However, such events can sometimes lead to retaliatory actions or indicate ongoing extremist threats. This question assesses the likelihood of a future large-scale attack.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 25%
- Closes
- 2029-09-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if a terrorist attack in Sri Lanka results in 10 or more fatalities, as officially reported by the Sri Lankan government or major international news agencies, before 2029-09-23. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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