10% of Small US Colleges to Close by 2030
Resolves: US Department of Education confirms 10% or more of small colleges have ceased operations.
user-generated· event
10% of Small US Colleges to Close by 2030
Market overview
At least 10% of small US colleges (under 5,000 students) will permanently close by 2030.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2030-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US Department of Education confirms 10% or more of small colleges have ceased operations.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- Liberia seizes over 250kg of cocaine within 6 months of bust — 70% Yes
- South Africa's Western Cape will see insurance claims exceed $500M due to floods — 75% Yes
- Oct 2026 early release recidivism rate ≥30% — 65% Yes
- Turek wins Iowa Senate primary by at least 5% — 70% Yes
- EU deportation rate increase — 60% Yes
- Keystone XL pipeline restarts by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Paxton Senate bid gains polling lead by 2026-11-30 — 62% Yes
- Egyptian tourism revenue rises 12% in 2026 due to Byzantine city discovery — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…