S&P 500 up 0.75% if jobs add 85,000 to 125,000
user-generated· price
S&P 500 up 0.75% if jobs add 85,000 to 125,000
Market overview
JPMorgan estimates a 25% chance for payrolls to fall within this range. This moderate growth aligns with low-hire, low-fire conditions and could lead to a modest S&P 500 gain of 0.75%.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 25%
Source: user-generated
More price markets
- RVII IPO price exceeds $25 by end of 2026 — 75% Yes
- Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM) outperforms S&P 500 by 50% over 12 months — 68% Yes
- Competitor SK Hynix captures less than 35% of global HBM market in 2026 — 72% Yes
- UK airline passengers face 15% fare increase in Q4 2028 — 85% Yes
- NASDAQ Composite drops 15% from current levels by December 2026 — 68% Yes
- China box office revenue for Hollywood films to surpass 2025 levels by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Alibaba's stock outperforms NASDAQ AI index by 10% in next 6 months — 65% Yes
- Lockheed Martin stock will rebound 10% within 30 days — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…