NASDAQ Composite drops 15% from current levels by December 2026

Market overview

Despite the 1999 parallels, technical extremes and historical precedents (e.g., 2000 crash) suggest a correction is likely. The NASDAQ will fall 15% or more from its May 12, 2026, close by December 31, 2026.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Source: user-generated

More price markets

• SpaceX stock rises 20% in first 30 days post-IPO — 72% Yes
• Nigerian naira volatility increases by 15% within 3 months of scandal — 68% Yes
• Etsy stock rises 20% within 6 months — 65% Yes
• Microsoft stock rises above pre-layoff levels by Dec 2026 — 60% Yes
• Pharma stocks drop 5% within 30 days of proposal announcement — 75% Yes
• French sports equity valuations rise 15% by Q1 2027 due to protectionism — 68% Yes
• USD/JPY falls below 140 by mid-2026 amid intervention fears — 60% Yes
• SPNE ETF outperforms its benchmark by 5% in first 6 months — 60% Yes

Browse all price markets →