SPNE ETF outperforms its benchmark by 5% in first 6 months
Resolves: SPNE total return exceeds the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 5 or more percentage points in the 6-month period ending 2027-01-09, as measured by the respective indices' performance data.
user-generated· price
SPNE ETF outperforms its benchmark by 5% in first 6 months
Market overview
The S&P 500 Ex-Elon Enterprises ETF (SPNE) will outperform the S&P 500 Total Return Index by at least 5 percentage points over the first six months post-launch. The exclusion of Tesla, a volatile stock, may reduce downside risk and improve risk-adjusted returns.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-01-09
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
SPNE total return exceeds the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 5 or more percentage points in the 6-month period ending 2027-01-09, as measured by the respective indices' performance data.
Source: user-generated
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