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China’s diesel exports decline by 15% by November 2026

Resolves: China’s diesel exports in November 2026 are at least 15% lower than the November 2025 export volume (as reported by China’s customs or independent tracking agencies).

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China’s diesel exports decline by 15% by November 2026

Market overview

China’s diesel exports will decline by 15% from 2025 levels by November 2026 as refiners prioritize domestic fuel supply to meet government-mandated output targets. Reduced export volumes will tighten diesel availability in Asian markets.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-11-30

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

China’s diesel exports in November 2026 are at least 15% lower than the November 2025 export volume (as reported by China’s customs or independent tracking agencies).

Source: user-generated

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