Iran publicly pledges to stop firing on ships in Hormuz by Aug 2026

Iran will issue a formal statement by August 15, 2026, declaring the Strait of Hormuz open and committing to cease all firing on commercial ships. This follows US pressure during Oman negotiations and Tehran's acknowledgment of past mistakes.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-08-15

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