user-generated· macro
Spain's 2026 wildfire season surpasses 2025 burned area by Dec 31
Market overview
Spain's 2026 wildfire season will burn more than the 393,000 hectares recorded in 2025, driven by extreme heatwaves and climate change. The trend of worsening fire seasons in Europe is accelerating, with 2026 already seeing multiple major incidents.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total burned area in Spain for 2026 exceeds 393,000 hectares, as reported by Spain's Ministry of Ecological Transition or EFFIS by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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