Will a major Icelandic political party include a pledge to hold a new referendum on EU accession talks in its platform for the next general election?
Resolves: YES if at least one of the three largest parties in the current Icelandic parliament (Independence Party, Left-Green Movement, Progressive Party) includes a specific commitment to hold a new referendum on EU accession talks in their official platform for the next general election. NO otherwise.
Will a major Icelandic political party include a pledge to hold a new…
Market overview
Despite the recent rejection, the issue of EU membership is a recurring theme in Icelandic politics. A significant shift in public opinion or the emergence of new political leadership could lead a party to champion a renewed public vote on the matter in the future.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2026-11-28
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if at least one of the three largest parties in the current Icelandic parliament (Independence Party, Left-Green Movement, Progressive Party) includes a specific commitment to hold a new referendum on EU accession talks in their official platform for the next general election. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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