Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?: Democratic

Market overview

Which party wins the presidency in 2028?

politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

64%

Source: predictit

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• Will Kamala Harris formally announce her candidacy for the U.S. Presidency in the 2028 election by December 31, 2027? — 70% Yes
• Keir Starmer resigns as Labour leader before 2026 general election — 35% Yes
• Reform UK wins at least one Westminster seat by 2027 UK general election — 75% Yes
• Will the UK Ministry of Defence announce new or enhanced security measures specifically for RAF Fairford by September 29, 2027, in response to the incident? — 45% Yes
• Will any political cartoonist win a Pulitzer Prize for editorial cartooning in 2027? — 70% Yes

Browse all politics markets →