USD/BRL falls below 4.8 by Q1 2027
Resolves: USD/BRL exchange rate < 4.8 on 2027-03-31
user-generated· macro
USD/BRL falls below 4.8 by Q1 2027
Market overview
The Brazilian Real strengthens against the USD, with USD/BRL dropping below 4.8 by March 31, 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
USD/BRL exchange rate < 4.8 on 2027-03-31
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- CBO scores drug pricing reform as budget-neutral by Q1 2027 — 68% Yes
- Fed cuts federal funds rate by 25bps or more by December 2026 — 70% Yes
- Traditional news brands lose 15% of digital revenue in South Africa by 2026 — 68% Yes
- Tech unemployment rate rises above 5% by 2026-12-31 — 72% Yes
- Canada’s GDP growth will accelerate by 0.3% in 2027 due to Middle East Africa trade expansion — 60% Yes
- GDP growth in FIFA event host countries exceeds 2% in Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- Mamdani’s tax plan fails to influence Hochul’s 2027 budget — 75% Yes
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 4.5% by end of June 2026 — 68% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…