Iran publicly pledges to stop ship attacks by 2026-07-31

The US demands Iran issue a public statement declaring the Strait of Hormuz open and committing to cease firing on commercial ships by July 31, 2026. Failure to do so risks escalation given recent ceasefire violations and US threats of 'not having a good outcome'.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-07-31

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