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user-generated· macro

US trade deficit exceeds $110B by year-end 2026

Market overview

US monthly trade deficit surpasses $110 billion in November or December 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2027-01-10

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

US Census Bureau reports monthly trade deficit ≥$110B for Nov or Dec 2026.

Source: user-generated

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