Will the United States impose new, non-nuclear-related sanctions on Iran by July 1, 2027?
Resolves: YES if the US Department of the Treasury or State Department announces new sanctions against Iranian entities or individuals that are not directly related to the nuclear program, by the specified date. NO otherwise.
Will the United States impose new, non-nuclear-related sanctions on I…
Market overview
Even if the US does not fully withdraw from the JCPOA, the Trump administration could opt for a strategy of increased pressure through new sanctions targeting Iran's ballistic missile program or human rights record. This would be a middle-ground approach to show resolve without fully abandoning the deal.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2029-08-27
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the US Department of the Treasury or State Department announces new sanctions against Iranian entities or individuals that are not directly related to the nuclear program, by the specified date. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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